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	<title>Baseball Simulator &#187; Hong-Chih Kuo</title>
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		<title>Strat-O-Matic 2008 winning formula</title>
		<link>http://baseballsimulator.com/blog/2009/12/23/2008-winning-formula/</link>
		<comments>http://baseballsimulator.com/blog/2009/12/23/2008-winning-formula/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Dec 2009 00:39:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stratomatic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[formula]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hong-Chih Kuo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[on base percentage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strat-O-Matic]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baseballsimulator.com/blog/?p=769</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Go to Strat-O-Matic Baseball: 2008 season Rankings and sort by winning percentage.  Keep Scrolling down the list until you find a manager with at least 10 teams.  At the time of this writing, one manager has a .573 winning percentage!  Of the 10 teams, I found 5 seasons where he won at least 94 games [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Go to <a href="http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/records/manager_records.html?game_id=338" target="_blank">Strat-O-Matic Baseball: 2008 season Rankings</a> and sort by winning percentage.  Keep Scrolling down the list until you find a manager with at least 10 teams.  At the time of this writing, one manager has a .573 winning percentage!  Of the 10 teams, I found 5 seasons where he won at least 94 games 4 out of 5 times.  One team won 108 games!</p>
<p><script src="http://baseballsimulator.com/theshow/paul_peterson_files/script.js"></script></p>
<p>I thought it would be interesting to analyze these teams to see what kind of formula this manager has put together.  These teams played in primarily pitcher parks and <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/ballpark.html?bp=192',%20'_blank',%20650,%20400,%20'scrollbars=yes');">Fenway Park</a> was a favorite.</p>
<p><strong>Batting</strong><br />
The one thing that stood out was the team on base percentage.  Two teams had a .380 OBP.  Of the five teams, the lowest team OBP was .358.  The average slugging percentage was .446.</p>
<p>So far, <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=123&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Milton Bradley</a> at DH and <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=371&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Mike Fontenot</a> at 2B have been favorites.   Both of these players have been on every single team.  <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=1411&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Pablo Sandoval</a> is used at 1B and <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=734&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Brian McCann</a> is the catcher.  All outfielders have excellent OBP percentage and/or high double chances.  <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=527&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Matt Holliday</a> or <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=1094&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Ryan Spilborghs</a> play in left field, <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=790&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Nyler Morgan</a> in Center field, and <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=413&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Brian Giles</a> in right field.  This appears to make a pretty solid lineup so far.  The only position left is shortstop and no player has really been a fixture here.  <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=172&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Orlando Cabrera</a> has been used a couple times.</p>
<p><strong>Bench</strong><br />
<a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=994&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Luis Rodriguez</a> was found on every team.  He can play SS, 2B, 1B, and 3B.  He has 28 single chances against right-handed pitchers and also has a good OBP against right handers.  Against left handed pitchers <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=1342&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Blake Dewitt</a> and <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=607&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Jeff Keppinger</a> were taken most of the time.  Milton Bradley has an injury on a 3 so any of these bench guys can fill in for Bradley at DH.</p>
<p><strong>Pitching</strong><br />
For this manager, only one team had a * (Needs only 3 days of rest between starts.) starting rotation.  All of the other teams used non * starting pitchers.  For an $80M salary cap, an average of $26.38M was used for these pitching staffs.</p>
<p>For the starting rotation the following pitchers were used on a total of 5 teams:</p>
<p><a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=90082&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">David Bush</a><br />
<a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=90288&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Scott Kazmir</a><br />
<a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=90281&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Randy Johnson</a><br />
<a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=90306&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">John Lannan</a></p>
<p>With the exception of <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=90714&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Harden</a> being drafted a couple times, the highest paid SP was always usually around the  3.5M-3.7M range.</p>
<p>For the bullpen, <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=90707&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Dan Giese</a> was the setup man four times and <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=90302&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Hong-Chih Kuo</a> was on the team three times.  Both of these pitchers have a relief endurance of R3.  If you browse the Strat-O-Matic 2008 card-set these two pitchers are probably the only quality non-starting relievers that have an R3 rating.  Having an R3 reliever in your pitching staff appears to be essential for success.</p>
<p>For the closer <a href="javascript:openWindow('http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/about/player.html?player_id=90275&amp;year=2008&amp;pool=2008',%20'_blank',%20650,%20850,%20'scrollbars=yes')">Bobby Jenks</a> was primarily taken.  He&#8217;s affordable at $3.55M and has a C6 rating.</p>
<p>For pitching, the strategy appears to be to use a starting rotation of non * pitchers with endurance ratings of S6 or lower and then have a setup man with an R3 rating pitch around 200-250 innings in relief.  A closer with a C5 or C6 closer rating is also a prerequisite for success.</p>
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